How it's done part 3
PLEASE PRINT THIS OUT AND READ IT WHEN YOU HAVE TIME TO ABSORB THE CONTENTS! (or simply need to get some sleep).
Before continuing, lets review:
1. Science has measured that the human mind has the ability to predict the outcome of a random future event more often than chance would permit
2. The 'effect size' or the 'amount' that the average human person can predict is VERY small . To take advantage of this 'small' effect, we need to leverage our abilities. Just like how a marathon runner trains to get faster, or how you grow wiser, or wealthier through the years. You progress toward your goal by LEVERAGING YOUR ABILITY and taking small steps, one at a time.
3. Use of the brain to 'think' an intuitive prediction lessens the effect. In order to produce an effect at all, the brain's conventional 'thinking' or analysis must be suppressed. To accomplish this, the answer should be in the form of a free-response, and not a forced choice. True intuition is produced from a thoughtless mind.
The big question (we're getting there..): How can we predict what the stock market is going to do a week ahead of time by using Leverage and Free-response?
ASSOCIATIVE OUTCOMES
When we observe the outcome of an event, what exactly are we observing that "IS" the outcome? The answer isn't as obvious and absolute as you might think. Consider the observation of the current temperature:
* Is the observation of the temperature a feeling on your skin?
* Is it observing where a column of mercury rises to on a thermometer?
* Is it the most current data from weather.com?
* Is it what you hear from the weather report on the radio?
Of course, all of these forms of observing the current temperature are valid observations - no single method is the 'real' temperature because the 'real' temperature probably doesn't exist. The 'real' temperature is just a large causal chain, possibly starting from some gasses burning on our sun causing our atmosphere to warm causing mercury in a glass column to expand which causes an instrument to emit a digital signal to a computer which causes some numbers to be displayed on a computer screen causing the weather man to 'say' something about that number into a transmitter which causes a radio signal to get sent, etc, etc...
There are an infinite number of ways to observe the outcome of an event. Every single one of these observed outcomes is 'ASSOCIATED' to what the temperature is, and NONE of them 'IS' the temperature.
What I am getting at here, and I hope it's becoming a bit obvious to you by now, is that there are ways to 'DISGUISE' the outcome of an event you are trying to predict in order to first "Hide" it from your thinking brain, and second, to gain consensus by answering the same question dozens of times by CHANGING the ASSOCIATIONS each time.
We do this by predicting the answer to an event that is "ASSOCIATED" to the event we are really trying to predict. That's EXACTLY like observing the temperature by reading a thermometer. The thermometer is NOT the temperature, but it's ASSOCIATED to the temperature.
If we want to predict the outcome of the stock market tomorrow, why not instead predict the outcome of some other event that is closely ASSOCIATED to the stock market outcome? That's not really as 'out-there' as it sounds - you do it all the time. The observation of the stock market close on CNBC is NOT the outcome of the stock market. It's only a bunch of pixels on your TV or computer monitor that are 'ASSOCIATED' to the outcome of the stock market.
Here is an example of how this works: If the stock market goes UP tomorrow, I'm going to dump a pail of steaming hot miscellaneous fish entrails mixed with sour milk over your head. If the stock market goes down tomorrow, I'm going to force you to listen to 5 straight hours of Backstreet Boys (or Will Young if you are British). But I don't tell you before hand. It's my little secret.
If I ask you to intuitively predict what will happen to you tomorrow, I'm really asking you to predict the outcome of the stock market because the two potential forms of torture are both 'ASSOCIATED' to the outcome of the market. Plus, It would be a whole lot more fun for ME than watching the ASSOCIATED pixels fluctuate around on my TV screen.
If I wanted to take advantage of LEVERAGING your intuitive abilities, I could repeat this process as many times as required to gain consensus. Each time, I could change the ASSOCIATED form of torture, keeping you blind to what you were attempting to predict.
It would work like this:
1. If the stock market goes UP on Monday I will:
a. Dump a pail of fish over your head on Tuesday,
b. Paint your face with lipstick on Wednesday,
c. Eat crackers in your bed on Thursday.
2. If the stock market goes DOWN on Monday I will:
a. Make you listen to 5 hours of Backstreet Boys on Tuesday,
b. Spill sticky Coke on your keyboard on Wednesday,
c. Call you silly names on Thursday.
Then I would ask you to make 3 predictions using your intuition powers:
1. What is going to happen to you on Tuesday?
2. What is going to happen to you on Wednesday?
3. What is going to happen to you on Thursday?
I could then consider all three of your intuitive predictions and attempt to envisage what goofy things I might have to inflict upon you on those 3 days. Since I already know how each form of torture is 'ASSOCIATED' to the stock market outcome, I can use your intuitive predictions as a proxy to the stock market outcome.
We have just solved our TWO conditions to making intuition work with a known question:
1. Your intuitive prediction is in the form of a Free-Response answer due to the fact that your brain can't interfere with the intuitive process because it doesn't know what it's trying to predict.
2. I can LEVERAGE your intuitive abilities by making you predict 3 different events (Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday) that are each ASSOCIATED to the outcome of ONE SINGLE event (The stock market).
This is basically how it's done. And no, I'm not sitting here with fish in my hair. Specific details on how I use random photographs (not smelly fish) as the associations for the two possible outcomes of the stock market will be the topic of the next "How it's done Part 4"
ARE YOU GETTING THIS?